However Did He Win?

19 Nov

There’s an interesting scene in Faulty Towers – a classic BBC sitcom – where Basil, a jackass to the core, discovers that his hotel is about to play host to a German family and he is not to mention the war. Cue Basil capering around like a … well, like a capering jackass. The entire episode ends with the German wondering, sadly, “however did they win?”

Over the last week, the question has been asked time and time again. How did Donald Trump win? And the answers range from embarrassed to condescending. American voters, we have been told, are too stupid to understand their own best interests. No, American voters are racist sexist bigots too thick-headed to appreciate what Hillary Clinton and the Democrats have done to them. It was the FBI’s fault! No, it was Obama’s fault! Trump won because Americans are scared of strong women. And so on and so on.

And let’s face it. Most of these answers are utter nonsense.

With that in mind, why did Trump win?

First, Hillary Clinton was an appallingly bad candidate. Quite apart from the reasons I discussed earlier, Hillary was a very poor choice. She stole the nomination, she was the establishment candidate, she had the media and Hollywood stars on her side, she was openly contemptuous of the ‘deplorables’, she was allowed to get away with some very serious offences, the idea that she was the ‘feminist’ candidate is laughable … she was, in short, utterly unlikable. Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump everywhere except where it mattered.

In short, given an election they should have won easily, the Democrats messed up.

Second, Donald Trump was not actually a bad candidate. His political instincts were far superior to his opponents. He won the nomination battle fairly (unlike Clinton) and commanded respect, if not liking, from many other Republicans. He put his finger on many problems facing the country (something Hillary could not or would not do) and promised to do something about them. And the media loathed him, which actually worked in his favour – the voters had heard too much crap about successive GOP candidates to believe the latest volley of absurdities from the media.

In short, Trump had a whole series of advantages that played nicely against Hillary’s weaknesses.

Third, and perhaps most important, Americans are fed up.

I’ve mentioned many – many – of the reasons before. Political correctness, government overreach, lawlessness on the streets, illegal immigration … Donald Trump was the ‘hope and change’ candidate in a year where the entire country was crying out for a change. What could Hillary offer that compared to that?

The underlying cause, I suspect, was the left’s focus on identity politics. To them, looking for ways to put people in neat little boxes, everything from the colour of your skin and your sexual identity was more important than your character. Their goal was, effectively, divide and rule. But, as I mentioned earlier, this approach suffered from two significant problems that were literally insurmountable. On one hand, the Left needed to balance the competing demands of different identities, somehow trying to be all things to all men; on the other, as various identities became mainstream, the Left would lose its grip on them. The horrified reaction – and the naked racism/sexism – hurled at black or female republicans is a reflection of the Left seeing its own doom. If minority groups can succeed without the Left, then how is the Left to survive?

The result was inevitable. Straight white men, seeing themselves (rightly or wrongly) increasingly marginalised in their own country, were not going to vote for Hillary. But many black Americans, looking at the legacy of Barrack Obama, also regarded Hillary with suspicion and contempt. Women, too, had good reason to feel that Hillary was not a feminist icon. Hispanics who fought hard to earn the right to live in the United States weren’t keen on simply granting citizenship to every illegal who crossed the Rio Grande. And homosexuals, reeling after Orlando, realised that Hillary was not going to defend them. She couldn’t even bring herself to point the finger at terrorists!

Hillary Clinton – and the vast majority of her supporters – are isolated from the realities facing ordinary Americans, whatever their colour and creed. What does a woman like her truly have in common with a single mother working two jobs, knowing that taking a day off will bury her under crippling debts? What does a young black man have in common with Obama? Or what does a young man or woman have in common with a Hollywood actress who pledged to leave the country if Trump was elected? Or …

I could go on, but why bother?

Donald Trump was elected because Americans were desperately crying out for a change. He was the only person who stood up and pointed his finger at the problem. And that great mass of frustrated and angry people, feeling that there was no escape from the growing power of the federal bureaucracy, heard his call.

And so they made him President.

This may or may not be a good result. We won’t know until after the first couple of years of President Trump. But it was predictable. I predicted it …

… So why didn’t the media?

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19 Responses to “However Did He Win?”

  1. Paul (Drak Bibliophile) Howard November 19, 2016 at 6:40 pm #

    You can “Cry Wolf” only a few times before you won’t be believed.

    The Left and the News Media have “Cried Wolf” too many times.

    And the News Media has shown how silly it is when they complained when Trump didn’t tell them he was going out for a family dinner. 👿

  2. His Dad November 19, 2016 at 7:07 pm #

    Interesting but untrue.
    Your essay predicates on Trump winning because more people voted for him.
    http://www.ibtimes.com/latest-2016-election-results-clinton-trump-popular-vote-final-tally-depends-4-million-2447595

    • Paul (Drak Bibliophile) Howard November 19, 2016 at 7:32 pm #

      Yes and No.

      First, while Hillary is “still ahead” in the popular vote, it is interesting how close this “unelectable” person got to Her Royal Majesty.

      Second, Trump won several states that Obama had won because he got out the vote from people that Hillary didn’t target.

    • bc November 20, 2016 at 12:42 am #

      Obama 2008 69.5 million
      Obama 2012 65.9 million
      Clinton 2016 62.5 million
      Trump gamed the electoral vote just like every candidate except Hillary tries to do. She was seen as a criminal he was seen as a jack@ss. I think the behavior of the MSM that pretended she was pure as the driven snow and super competent Senator/Sec. of State, put people over the edge. Middle America stayed home in just enough numbers to through the election to Trump.

    • JJ Reuter November 20, 2016 at 11:57 am #

      Prior to the election results the left was so confident they had the electoral college in the bag. They believed this because all the major bastions of leftist power were in the biggest cities. This is why the electoral college was implemented. To prevent these enclaves from dictating to the majority of states. It was to level that playing field. It was to prevent the tyranny of the majority. It gave all states a voice regardless of population density and gerrymandering. It strikes me as hypocritical that the left is now whining about being cheated when they held all the cards going into the election. The GOP, the media, Soros and all the high visibility social media was against Trump and he still prevailed. Sucks to have total power, which you leftists demanded, with someone you don’t like. It was ok when you were in the drivers seat. Give the new guy a chance. Nothing is perfect but being human is to continue to strive for that perfection.

  3. shrekgrinch November 19, 2016 at 7:28 pm #

    And also because to Democrats, every four years the GOP nominee is literally Hitler, only to be resurrected as one of the “good Republicans” later in contrast to the new guy who’s literally Hitler.

  4. Bret November 19, 2016 at 8:06 pm #

    Chris asks: “So why didn’t the media [predict Trump win]?”

    That’s not their job. Their job is to set the narrative for the country (or at least they think it is). From an ex-NYTimes editor ( http://deadline.com/2016/11/shocked-by-trump-new-york-times-finds-time-for-soul-searching-1201852490/ ):

    ===

    [At the Times] by and large, talented reporters scrambled to match stories with what internally was often called “the narrative.” We were occasionally asked to map a narrative for our various beats a year in advance, square the plan with editors, then generate stories that fit the pre-designated line. […]

    …one senior reporter who would play solitaire on his computer in the mornings, waiting for his editors to come through with marching orders. …

    I listened to a visiting National staff reporter tell a contact, more or less: “My editor needs someone to say such-and-such, could you say that?”

    The bigger shock came on being told, at least twice, by Times editors who were describing the paper’s daily Page One meeting: “We set the agenda for the country in that room.”

    ===

    So not only did the media not bother with needing to predict anything, they were busy setting the Hillary narrative.

    And still are. And they have demographics behind them.

    Trump is a last breath of air for folks like me before, to paraphrase Orwell from 1984, the picture of the future is a progressive boot stamping on my conservative face — forever.

  5. bexwhitt November 19, 2016 at 9:43 pm #

    The people who have no faith in the system that voted for him to crash the car put him over the edge. None of the above should have won.

    • Paul (Drak Bibliophile) Howard November 19, 2016 at 9:47 pm #

      The System Worked.

      It’s the Liberals who are Whining that the System didn’t work (because the wrong person won by the rules).

    • sjallen343 November 20, 2016 at 12:42 am #

      Sometimes the car needs to crash. Example.
      You’re driving a big truck and the brakes go out. You can either 1. Hit the car in front of you at the intersection and kill that innocent driver. Or 2. Plough into the intersection and kill eighteen of those innocent drivers. Option 3… There is no other option. There isn’t time left because you were asleep at the wheel and trusted the “system” to keep itself running.

      Believe it or not, thats one of the moral dilemmas facing the designers of automated cars at the moment, but back to the point.

      How is this example relevant? America is currently out of control and it’s the biggest truck in the world. The only way to get it back is to get the driver back in control, i.e. the middle class people who pay the damn taxes that keep the place running and not the out of control parasites and elitists. Trump promised that. Not sure if he can deliver but he might, just might, get the ball rolling. Thats the best that can be hoped for and its something that nobody else even considered doing. Will it hurt in the short term? Sure will. Nobody wants to kill that innocent driver who just happened to be in the wrong place at the wrong time.

      Or you could have gone Clinton and kept driving right into that intersection. War with Russia was on the cards. What happens when the US military refuses that order? Clinton is hated, utterly hated, by men and women in uniform.

      I don’t think you can understand that level of hate because most of Western civilisation has lost track of reality. Very easy to do if nobody has tried to kill you recently. But she’s up there with pedophiles and clowns.

      Military refuses, warrants to arrest senior officers are ordered and civil war ensues. There goes the crowd as the rest of the world goes to hell right along with it.

      So there you go, adult rational person. Make a choice and kill someone who doesn’t deserve it.

      This **** could have been easily prevented but here we are.

  6. Walt November 19, 2016 at 10:39 pm #

    Good thoughts, Chris. I believe that the media has so blinded themselves with various “values” of correctness thar they, together with many of the current administration”s placeholders created a broad plan towards fulfilling their societal agenda that facts just didn’the register. Considering that the current administration has delaborately set up as many division image labels as possible, in addition to forcing out any respected leadership that might threaten their created picture of the world and domestic situation, there is no way for them to not go down into defeat. When a leader forces out his military and civilian advisors because he dislikes what they are telling him and also seeks to trash many of the traditions they uphold, he will always fail miserably.

  7. thundercloud47 November 20, 2016 at 6:00 am #

    Hillary was going for an electoral win herself and thought she had it in the bag. She cut back on campaigning near the end because she was ahead in the polls. Trump kept going like the energizer bunny doing 3 stops per day in states that had a large number of electoral votes. The media made fun of him for doing this.

    The media also poked fun of him for talking about voter fraud. They poked fun of us deplorables who believed this could be true. They said or hinted that we were ill-educated. Now that the Left is saying the election was rigged they are saying that those brave and daring, highly educated protestors have valid concerns.

    Myself I saw what Hillary was like when she and Bill left the White House years ago. They had a cat named Socks. The media gushed over Socks and showed lots of pictures of him with the Clintons. Hillary talked about how much she loved that cat.

    The very day they left the White house she gave Socks away. Socks was just a prop to help them appeal to voters. I am not an animal rights activist. I still have a bit of the old farm boy in me. That being said you don’t give a pet away that you love. Her actions in that regard told me that she’d say and do anything to remain in power.

    • thundercloud47 November 20, 2016 at 6:08 am #

      I forgot to mention that I grew up in an era where boys who liked cats were considered pansies. For many years I did not like cats…until I got married. My wife and I also did not like small dogs especially Dachshunds. The dog pic on my Gravatar is my miniature longhaired Dachshund. She has spoiled me far worse than I have spoiled her.

  8. Vapori November 20, 2016 at 2:02 pm #

    Sure, the democrats and the liberal elites were out of touch with reality, but I don’t see that the republicans or Donald Trump are more at touch with it.

    Very few developed industry countries were able to lower the impact of globalization on the working class.

    In comparison too many other western countries some of the reforms made by Bill Clinton were actually not that bad.

    And if you look at Trumps program and his promises.. it won’t get much better when he rules. It will likely work in the short term, But it will also cause a massive rise in american deb, so that it cripples the US in the long term.

    If you look a bit closer at them it will likely increase the speed of the richt getting richer and the poorer and middle-class falling down. Not in a minute of course but over the course of 5-10 years as fiscal reforms always take a bit of time before they really show an effect.

    Going back on some international treaties.. will not work and if he still does, America will loose a lot of face internationally and that will have consequences.

    And he wants to dry up the swamp in Washington, but I’m very curious if he is able too do so.. The swamp is a systemic one and he would need to change the way the system works, on a very fundamental level and I don’t see that happen.

  9. Drowe November 20, 2016 at 6:24 pm #

    I think Trump won because oft the mainstream media, they utterly failed to take him serious as a candidate. They belittled him, were dismissive and tried to paint him as a joke. They didn’t realise, that the populace was fed up with their bullshit and stopped believing their rethoric. The shaming of Trump supporters by the media and the Clinton campaign resulted in many silent supporters, that screwed up the polls. And the overconfidence of the left who basically didn’t believe Trump had a snowballs chance in hell to win the election led to many who would have grudgingly voted for Clinton or rather against Trump to stay home and not vote at all.

    The left leaning media has become such an echo chamber, that they lost touch with reality. And maybe, just maybe they have learned a lesson from this and start doing their jobs again. They need to go back to actual reporting, they need to hire reporters and editors that are politically diverse and stop pushing an agenda. I doubt they will, and if they don’t they will lose relevance very quickly. And very soon no one will listen to them anymore.

  10. georgephillies November 20, 2016 at 8:05 pm #

    There is a web site, TheHill.com. It has excellent news on D.C. It has columnists. Note what happened to them. On Monday, November 7—tomorrow evening Republicans must apologize to America. On Tuesday, November 8 — radio silence, which is still ongoing.

  11. Big Ben November 20, 2016 at 10:24 pm #

    Something I’ve been pondering …
    Sure, most folks don’t like swamps. They tend to stink most of the year, can’t build much in them or farm them and they tend to be populated by nasty critters that sting and bite and feed on carrion.
    They are also part of the natural ecosystem. In most parts of the world, when folks thought they knew better and drained the swamps, they unintentionally created problems vastly worse.

    Trump says he wants to “drain the swamp” that is Washington D.C., make the federal government smaller and pivot more to states rights.
    The thing that gets forgotten (or intentionally left out) of that idea is that the ISSUES don’t go away – health care, abortion, gun control, immigration, business and financial regulation (or lack there of), infrastructure, jobs and the minimum wage, marriage rights, legalization of drugs, etc., etc.
    If Trump does what he’s promised, those issues merely get fought about ever more viciously at the state level.
    In other words, 50 smaller swamps instead of one massive cesspool.
    And then the states start arguing with each other. We’ve already been seeing this in many southern states regarding water rights. And in “drug free states” (hysterical laugh) that border pro-pot states.
    Not sure if one idea’s any better than another.

  12. Stafford1069 November 21, 2016 at 4:45 pm #

    “Drain the Swamp” is a metaphor found in Counter Insurgency (COIN). You remove an insurgency (THE PROBLEM) by removing its support base found in the populace (THE SWAMP). When Drain the Swamp you separate the Bad Guys from their logistics base, and they wither on the vine. Reference the Malaya Emergency as an example.

    Essentially it’s about solving a problem.

  13. Randomcurrent November 21, 2016 at 8:39 pm #

    You nailed part of but also missed a big part of it. The left’s strategy of divide and conquer backfired, at least for the time being. White working class folks believe Trumps schtick. The rest of held held our noses, because Hillary was a terrible candidate and a crook, but I repeat myself. Maybe someday when the Libertarians get serious…. just kidding

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